A History of Outperforming Analyst Forecasts and Beating the Odds: Harley-Davidson, Inc (HOG)

With 0.99 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained lighter than its average volume of 1.71 million shares. During the session, the Recreational Vehicles company that operates in wider Consumer Cyclical sector, reached to the highest price of $32.77 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $32.04. The 52-week range on HOG shows that it touched its highest point at $44.16 and its lowest point at $29.67 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $38.38. With its current market cap of 4.14 billion, HOG has annualized dividend of $0.68 while the current yield stands at 2.10%. Beta for the stock currently stands at 1.49.

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Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of HOG was up-trending over the past week, with a rise of 1.79%, but this was down by -5.91% over a month. Three-month performance dropped to -10.42% while six-month performance fell -8.79%. The stock gained 7.62% in the past year, while it has lost -11.81% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for HOG yields 4.43 with Next year EPS estimates of 4.11. For the next quarter, that number is -0.62. This implies an EPS growth rate of -24.47% for this year and 11.79% for next year. EPS is expected to grow by 0.20% annually over the next five years; however, over the past five years, the company experienced an annual growth rate of 8.82%.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 136.31 million HOG shares are outstanding with a float of 126.22 million shares on hand for trading. On 2024-10-31, short shares totaled 9.28 million, which was 729.0000000000001 higher than short shares on 1727654400. In addition to Mr. Jochen Zeitz as the firm’s Chairman, President & CEO, Mr. Jonathan R. Root serves as its Chief Financial Officer.

Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 0.96352994 of HOG’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have minority control over the company.

An Overview of Recent Financials:

Understanding a company as a customer does not mean you will understand it as an investor. The wise investor uses quantitative research to analyze metrics such as revenue, net income, and earnings. In its fiscal quarter reported on 2024-09-30, HOG reported revenue of $1150695000.0 and operating income of $105796000.0. The EBITDA in the recently reported quarter was $163396000.0 and diluted EPS was $0.91.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for HOG since 13 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 5 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 2 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 6 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 0 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 0 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With HOG analysts setting a high price target of 40.0 and a low target of 31.5, the average target price over the next 12 months is 37.61111. Based on these targets, HOG could surge 23.11% to reach the target high and fall by -3.05% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 15.76% from current levels.

Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of $3.90098 being high and $3.59701 being low. For HOG, this leads to a yearly average estimate of $3.67807. The surprise factor in the prior quarter was $1.38. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is $1.94 and the low estimate is $1.44. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus $1.61.