A History of Outperforming Analyst Forecasts and Beating the Odds: Rithm Capital Corporation (RITM)

With 4.47 million shares changed hands, the volume of the stock remained lighter than its average volume of 4.74 million shares. During the session, the REIT – Mortgage company that operates in wider Real Estate sector, reached to the highest price of $10.32 whereas the lowest price it dropped to was $10.09. The 52-week range on RITM shows that it touched its highest point at $12.19 and its lowest point at $9.13 during that stretch. It currently has a 1-year price target of $13.10. With its current market cap of 5.47 billion, RITM has annualized dividend of $1.00 while the current yield stands at 9.70%. RITM paid its most recent dividend on 1743379200, while the ex-dividend date for that was 1743379200. Beta for the stock currently stands at 1.34.

Price Performance and Earnings:

Stock performance is one of the indicators that investors use to determine whether they will profit from a stock. The price performance of RITM was up-trending over the past week, with a rise of 2.79%, but this was down by -11.35% over a month. Three-month performance dropped to -9.32% while six-month performance fell -4.80%. The stock lost -3.19% in the past year, while it has lost -4.80% so far this year. A look at the trailing 12-month EPS for RITM yields 1.67 with Next year EPS estimates of 2.08. For the next quarter, that number is 0.47. This implies an EPS growth rate of -4.17% for this year and 3.22% for next year. EPS is expected to decline by -1.27% annually over the next five years; however, over the past five years, the company experienced an annual growth rate of 4.44%.

Float and Shares Shorts:

At present, 530.32 million RITM shares are outstanding with a float of 527.45 million shares on hand for trading. On 2025-03-31, short shares totaled 5.13 million, which was 99.00000000000001 higher than short shares on 1740700800. In addition to Mr. Michael Nierenberg as the firm’s Chairman, President & CEO, Mr. Nicola Santoro Jr., CPA serves as its CFO, Chief Accounting Officer & Treasurer.

Institutional Ownership:

Through their ownership of 0.49773 of RITM’s outstanding shares, institutional investors have minority control over the company.

Analysts Ratings:

Reading analyst opinions is an effective way to decide where to invest, and there are several opinions available for RITM since 6 analysts follow the stock currently. There are 4 analysts who recommend BUY ratings, while 1 suggest SELL ratings. Of the remaining analysts, 1 believe that the stock is worth HOLDING, 0 give it an OVERWEIGHT rating, and 0 thinks that it’s UNDERWEIGHT. In the same way, a target price assigned to a stock can also reveal much about its potential. With RITM analysts setting a high price target of 14.0 and a low target of 12.5, the average target price over the next 12 months is 13.1. Based on these targets, RITM could surge 35.79% to reach the target high and rise by 21.24% to reach the target low. Reaching the average price target will result in a growth of 27.06% from current levels.

EPS: Estimates vs Actual

It is also common to use earnings estimates to evaluate a firm’s growth potential and to determine trading strategy. Analysts have provided yearly estimates in a range of $1.93635 being high and $1.8872 being low. For RITM, this leads to a yearly average estimate of $1.91669. Based on analyst estimates, the high estimate for the next quarter is $0.55 and the low estimate is $0.47. The average estimate for the next quarter is thus $0.5.